Monday, 21 January 2013

HMV SOLUTION IMMINENT?

As many had hoped, it does look as if there's a gathering wave of good will towards HMV right now. My previous blog on 15th January outlined the reasons why HMV had found itself in administration and expressed the hope that a combination of the music industry and some White Knight financier would see it survive, somehow. What had been a couple of "straws in the wind" seem to be firming up and we need to check these out.   

Today, HMV's adminsistrators Deloittes have confirmed that after looking at the company's finances, the stores can now start honouring gift vouchers once more. HMV took a lot of flak from customers for the refusal to accept them, particularly as there were many more of them in circulation than usual following the festive season. But that in essence was part of the issue. The gift voucher money had already been paid to HMV and taken into account when they called in the administrators. Deloittes wouldn't accept a position whereby stock would flow out of the stores for which no further income would be received. Whether this is an acceptable or moral course of action is open to debate, but it has been the pattern with many other high street stores that have taken the administration route.

Interestingly enough, there doesn't seem to be any hint of HMV store disposals yet and the planned January "25% off sale" went ahead and still continues. 

Salvation?    

Record buyers with longer memories will recall that when both Borders and Zavvi closed their stores, one of the communities that suffered the most were the indie record labels. They relied on their wares featuring in-store and with distribution channels closed off, it set their financial alarm bells ringing too. It was almost a double blow for some of them - reduced distribution and stock tied up in the stores with little or no hope of financial redress.  

HMV poses an even bigger threat as it is the last national chain and had, until recently, an admirable policy of supporting genre music and small labels alongside the big international firms such as Sony. Ironically, several of them - such as The World Music Network - had seen increased sales and profits via HMV. But, there's a clear danger that with little or no distribution, many smaller labels will also cease trading. Behind the scenes, intense lobbying has been taking place to ensure that these factors were also taken into account in determining HMV's future. The knock-on effect would be felt beyond those labels as it would reduce the number of publishing outlets for aspiring bands - and although many can take a DIY approach, it's not as simple or *lucrative* as many might think.

The big groups themselves are also keen to keep HMV intact: despite their size, they too need distribution and they have rostas of bands and artists who have deep back catalogues which need to be promoted. They also have big interests in films and associated DVD sales and it's not at all surprising to see Warner Brothers, Universal and 20th Century Fox trying to protect those *assets* by supporting an appropriate outcome. 
  

HMV Vancouver
It now looks as if what is quaintly known as a "restructuring specialist" Hilco has emerged as a front-runner to buy HMV. It's a company that buys "distressed businesses" where they believe there's some hope of turning them round as a going concern. They have history in this area having bought HMV (Canada)  a couple of years ago for the paltry sum of £2m and already, some of the largest flagship stores such as that in Vancouver have been closed. They have, though, opened smaller, more specialist outlets in city suburbs and it'll be very interesting to see where this policy takes them in the longer term. Importantly for the UK, the major record and DVD companies seem to be uniting behind the Hilco bid - which (apparently) is one of some 50 expressions of interest shown in the chain. It also seems that record and DVD suppliers see Hilco as a positive option and may well be prepared to support them on any acquisition - and ensure that decent credit lines are provided, credit lines which are the life-blood in this sort of business. There are even hints that prices charged to HMV might be reduced.

Hilco have made no comment so far - and there are some conflicting reports about what the major record companies are actually doing (if anything) to resolve this crisis for HMV. 

Brand New Record Store in
Bournemouth, Dorset
Let's not forget, HMV may not be the best record stores around - there are still some very good independent record stores in the UK - but they do have a presence in 230 or so towns and cities around the UK. Of course it would be nice - in the event of HMV's finally collapsing - that more indies spring up. Some might, but the there will be huge challenges to overcome: firstly, the high cost of location and rent and secondly, the attractiveness of the deal they'll get from record companies for supplying stock. A lone store doesn't have the buying or bargaining power of HMV and will need to fight and overcome these issues to succeed and make a profit.

It is true (of course) that on-line sales are increasing dramatically both in terms of on-line ordering of CDs and music downloads. But with no HMV -  and despite a sprinkling of very good independent stores - I don't think the UK is yet ready for there to be no record-buying outlets at all in many towns and cities. Habits die hard, ordinary folks don't embrace new technology as quickly as early adopters - and there is still nothing to beat the tactile qualities of an LP or CD.  

The next few days, then, will be crucial.

Alan 


21st January 2013
   







  


Tuesday, 15 January 2013

DEATH THROES ON THE HIGH STREET?

I hadn't expected to return to the subject of record stores quite so quickly: regular readers may recall a long piece I wrote in October last year which outlined the rise and fall of the record store phenomena in the UK. (You can check it out here: Record Stores ). I ended it by being relatively positive about the future, recognising that it would be a smaller and more niche future - but nonetheless, one in which record stores continued to exist in some way.

Two piece of news this week illustrate the precarious nature of the record retailer business model. Firstly, HMV has gone into administration - and secondly, on-line CD and DVD seller play.com has announced that from March, it will withdraw from its direct retail business.

But, what does this tell us? Does it say that HMV was badly run? That no-one buys CDs anymore? That the record industry no longer cares? Let's take a look at some of the factors swirling around the UK economy that have impacted these two very different animals.

HMV


With 239 stores in the UK and employing over 4300 staff, HMV is still a big business. Any big business needs to keep its eye on the competition to ensure it's not left behind. HMV did what it could: when video cassettes started being replaced in popularity by DVDs, it gave over large parts of each store to this product.  It tried to tackle the growing threat from on-line retailers  by launching its own download business. It saw that bands were increasingly making their money out of touring, so it bought a string of legendary music venues here in the UK. Finally, it acquired the book chain Waterstones and added to it when the Ottakers chain became available.

So, it had acted swiftly and decisively?

Well, not quite. Let's look at each of the moves and their subsequent consequences.

DVD Invasion


HMV was always seen as a record retailer, a business brand wrapped up with music and record labels. Once a London-based retailer, it embarked on a store expansion programme in the late 1960s, so its ubiquitous High Street presence has only been around for thirty to forty years. As the shape and purpose of town and city centres has changed across the years, HMV had to react. In the expansionist 80s, retail parks and out-of-town locations started becoming popular and large stores de rigeur. HMV was left with a large town centre estate, but often stores would end up in the wrong bit of town as the retail axis changed. As long as people kept buying, the downside wasn't too serious - even when competitors such as Virgin, Tower, Borders and so forth appeared to be much fleeter of foot and nimbler in their marketing and promotion. 

The attractions of HMV weren't its prices - it was not the cheapest store - but rather the large range of stock, the in-depth selection of genre music and the knowledge and enthusiasm of its staff. For record buyers who were uncertain about what they wanted, it was a good, friendly place to go. The larger stores -such as Southampton - had several floors and segregated the musical range into Classical, Genre and Rock & Pop. I - and no doubt many others - could spend hours browsing the shelves and choosing music to buy. The arrival "instore" of the DVD was no doubt seen as a wise move by the HMV hierarchy, but what it did was to remove quite a bit of the CD sale space, chipping away at the very qualities which brought the punters in. After DVDs, books, magazines, T-Shirts, games and gadgets followed - a typical High Street HMV was no longer a record store. Indeed, the newer retail park sites (such as Bournemouth's Castle Point) changed their layouts so that upon entering, racks and racks of DVDs were the main feature - with CDs and music shunted off to a less enticing part of the floor-space.

The genre-lines were cut back dramatically, so whereas at one time, Southampton had a whole floor devoted to folk, country, jazz, blues, rock & roll and all the rest, it now had two small racks with an extremely poor choice. From promoting HMVs own music label (part of EMI), it moved to swathes of DVDs and almost seemed to apologise for having to stock the odd bit of folk or jazz. The consequence? HMV was no longer a browsing destination, no longer a place to go to talk to staff experts - but an almost Tesco-like "pile it high and sell it cheap" emporium, only it wasn't that cheap.

Download Explosion


It can of course be argued, that the DVD invasion was simply a reaction to how consumer buying habits had changed - and the launch of its on-line download facility was another string to HMV's bow. The late 1990s saw the growth of a number of download websites, some from enthusiastic music fans, others from tech-savvy entrepreneurs. Here is not the place to go into the history, but essentially, the success of downloading only hit once two things happened: firstly, the widespread availability of home PCs with decent download speeds and secondly, the birth of easy and attractive download software and sites. Apple got in on the act through its purchase of Soundjam in 2000 and renaming it iTunes and since then, it has grown into a world-wide phenomenon. 

HMV started in a very tentative fashion by remodelling some of its larger stores to include a bank of PCs from which customers could buy direct from its fledgling download store. Again, one can see the thinking of the HMV marketeers, but this hybrid approach turned out to be the worst of all possible worlds, not helped by HMV's on-line pricing structure and the clunky and awkward software platform. The in-store terminals were phased out and a big promotion of a new download site replaced it: it was smarter and tidier, but still not the easiest thing to use - and by the time that the music-buying public was aware of it, iTunes had grabbed a substantial lead. So, the problem now was - how much money could be thrown at it to compete? But with an ageing estate of bricks and mortar coupled with its over-expansion into book-retailing meant that money was in short supply - and management attention was diverted elsewhere. HMV's on-line download site never did bridge the gap and it sits there as part of HMV.com, quietly dying away.

On-Line Tax Haven


The other threat that HMV was up against came from other retailers who sold physical copies of CDs - but they did so on-line and at a lower price. Play.com was the biggest and most aggressive: HMV were caught off-balance by the marketing tactics of this Jersey-based upstart. Play.com took advantage of a tax loophole there allowing them to buy and sell their wares without having to pay 15% VAT. That coupled with a clicks and mortar back office meant much lower overheads and the chance to sell products at a price that undercut HMV.

The response from the HMV management was to replicate Play.com's success by opening a similar operation in Guernsey, also taking advantage of the tax loopholes noted above. For a short time, they looked as if this might work for them, but again, events conspired against them. Brand awareness was all important - and Play.com was the on-line king of brands. HMV was seen as a High Street brand, so new consumers tended to opt for the upstart rather than the veteran. HMV also had the oft-repeated dilemma of a dual-track business whereby on-line sale prices were cheaper than store prices - and although there was an economic rationale for this, it didn't sit well with the punters.  

The death knell had been lurking in the background for some time: UK retailers had long complained of the tax loophole in the Channel Islands that allowed HMV and Play.com to base themselves there and essentially not to have to charge VAT. Pressure had been growing on the UK government and the States of Guernsey and Jersey to "do something about it" and in April 2012, "Low value consignment relief" (the technical phrase which allowed VAT-free sales on goods up to a value of £18) was outlawed by the UK government. Imports to the UK had to pay full VAT of 15%, thus removing almost overnight the key rationale for these CI-based businesses. 


Play.com still exists, but they have announced (9th January) that with effect from March, it's direct retail business will close, leaving the brand to concentrate on its "marketplace", whatever that might mean in the longer term. 

Live Music


In a parallel move, HMV had obviously noted that the old record-label and record company model was also suffering various stresses and strains. Bands increasingly saw their financial future coming from touring and live performances, rather than from the sale of singles and albums. It wasn't an overnight switch, but as new technology enabled new entrants to take a more DIY-approach to producing their music, music venues became the new commodity. Boosting this idea of live music was the explosive growth in the number of music festivals in the UK, festivals which needed bands and artists - all leading to more tours, more bands "getting back together" and a change to how many people consumed their music.

HMV's response? In 2009, it joined up with the MAMA Group to buy a 50% share in their business of owning iconic music venues. This brought the HMV brand to places such as The Hammersmith Apollo which became the HMV Apollo. Later that year, it bought the business outright, but running music venues in a crowded market place is a tough thing, it needs time and investment, and with the stresses and strains elsewhere in its business, HMV sold out just two years later to bring in some much-needed capital.

Books And Other Distractions


The final elements of HMV's portfolio, and an increasingly large distraction from selling music, was its ownership of the High Street book chain, Waterstones. It had over 250 stores around the UK and had been founded by book-seller extraordinaire, Tim Waterstone in 1982. It took a revolutionary approach to retailing and was bought out by W H Smith in 1993, Waterstone's former employer. By 1998, Tim Waterstone had decided to try and buy back his stores and launched a bid for the whole W H Smith empire. As a protective measure, W H Smith sold the Waterstones stores to HMV for £200m - and HMV brought its founder back to head the business.

Ottakers, a boutique-style rival chain of booksellers was added in 2006, but by then, on-line sales of books was having an impact on the abilty of the whole chain to compete. Whilst profitability was maintained to some extent, sales and market share were falling - and HMV, strapped for cash, sold the empire to A & NN Capital Fund Management in 2011 for barely a quarter of what they had paid for it 13 year earlier. The other threat to the business was the increasing acceptance by the public of e-books and book-readers such as the Kindle. HMV won't have to face that challenge, but I do hope that Waterstones manages to ride out that storm and survive.

High Street Woes?


So, we're back to HMV being put into administration on January 15th, 2013.

Some might think that no High Street store should be immune from the economic reality of life in 21st century Britain, change is for the good and maybe one day, we'll be anxious about the loss of iTunes or some such other on-line business. Others argue that for towns and cities to survive, a strong retail presence is vital - and speaking personally, the social cohesion of a town is down to retail, entertainment and employment attractions. If these disappear, what future is there for our towns and High Streets? Reinvention will happen, but I do trust that there will be a happy mix of real stores and virtual stores, I hope that the pleasures of shopping and browsing - the tactile experience of books and music in my case - will live on.

HMV itself may well survive in some form.

It's too early to say specifically what will happen, but already there are encouraging noises being made by the record and entertainment industry that its physical presence is a necessary element of the future. I suspect they fear being held in thrall solely to the on-line world and hope for a bit of competition. I hope too that there's a recognition that not everyone chooses (or is able) to buy on-line. A buyer for the group may have some advantages: if they have the funding to buy the brand and the stores, then they start afresh with no debt. Some stores will close, of that there is no doubt. They're in the wrong places now, they're the wrong size and they may well be locked into punitive leases. I fear for the staff numbers too. However, with some genuine focus and (that horrible word) re-purposing of their offering, HMV may yet survive.

We shall see.

Alan

15th January 2013   

   

 




Friday, 4 January 2013

THE MUSICAL BOX TOP 40 ALBUMS 2012 - Top 20 Run Down

Well, the run down is now complete following the second of our two broadcasts yesterday (3rd January) and the running order for the Top 20 is revealed!

It was a great show last night as the tension mounted through to Midnight when the revelation that DJANGO DJANGO had taken the top spot with their self-titled debut release. The top ten positions were all tightly contested and just a handful of votes separated them. Once again, I must thank all the listeners who voted - as well as readers of this The New Musical Box Blog - and I must also thank colleagues at Forest FM for their interest too. And a special mention to Chris Wade, the driving force behind Dodson & Fogg whose debut was in at #20: he promoted the show and the run-down for which I am very grateful indeed. His band have got a new album - Derring Do - coming out in the spring and judging by the first single, it's going to be another fine release.

Anyway - here's the Top 20 run down:



    


















You can check out the lower part of run down (positions 21-40) in a previous blog by clicking  on the link here:


And if you'd like to hear the selections, then here's a link to last night's show for you to listen to "at your leisure":



Well, that's it for another year, but already 2013 is looking as if it'll be an intriguing year too. There are a number of big releases due and with the recently announced BBC "Sound of 2013" list (topped by an excellent San Franciscan trio, Haim - I'll definitely be playing them in my show), there'll be a wealth of music to enjoy.

Don't forget you can tune in to The Musical Box every Thursday night at 10pm,  two hours of top music: songs old, new, borrowed and blues - plus a range of regular features and the odd surprise too. If you're in the East Dorset/West Hampshire area, then tune in to 92.3 Forest FM - and for all those across the rest of the globe, why not bookmark our Radio Player link?


And of course, ideas, suggestions and contributions are always most welcome. There are three quick ways of getting in touch:

Here's looking forward to a fascinating musical year - and I'll be back in blog-mode next week as we take a look at the British folk-rock boom of the late 1960s.

Alan

Tuesday, 1 January 2013

THE 2012 TOP 40 ALBUMS - PART 2

Well, we're into 2013 now and we've still got some great music from last year to feature on this week's edition of The Musical Box. Regular readers and listeners will know that we've compiled a run down of the Top 40 Albums of 2012. This was put together from many of my Albums Of the Week throughout the year and a few others which unaccountably slipped the net. The placings were down to you folks with your votes coming in up to Christmas Eve - for which my eternal thanks.



Last week's show featured the first half of the draw running from #40 down to #21. If you missed the show amongst all the festive fall-out, then here's a link to take you straight to my Listen Again facility - can't be bad, just listen in whenever and where ever you are: 


The top 20 features in this Thursday's show (January 3rd) which you can catch at 10pm on 92.3 Forest FM - and live around the world via our Radio Player - and here's a handy link for you:


The show is packed with two hours of great music with all our usual features - but to discover the run down and which release gets the coveted number 1 slot, you'll have to listen in. As a taster, what about a randomly ordered list of the twenty bands and albums in contention?

The Albums - The Top 20 - Randomly Ordered


  • Aimee Mann - Charmer
  • Toy - Toy
  • Garbage - Not Your Kind Of People
  • The Black Keys - El Camino
  • Dodson & Fogg - Dodson & Fogg
  • Tame Impala - Lonerism
  • Band Of Horses - Mirage Rock
  • Beth Orton - Sugaring Season
  • Heart - Fanatic
  • Bonnie Raitt - Slipstream
  • Bob Dylan - Tempest
  • First Aid Kit - The Lion's Roar
  • Bruce Springsteen - Wrecking Ball
  • Alabama Shakes - Boys And Girls
  • Grace Potter & The Nocturnals - The Lion, The Beast, The Beat
  • Donald Fagan - Sunken Condos
  • Dave Matthews Band - Away From The World
  • Martha Wainwright - Come Home To Mama
  • Django Django - Django Django
  • Polica - Give You The Ghost 

So, there we have it - don't forget to tune in on Thursday January 3rd at 10pm (UK), 5pm (Eastern) for the best two hours of music from 2012.

See you then.

Alan